This list is taken from the projected starters and their rankings on Wrestlestat. The order is not a prediction, just a list from their site. Based on who they list as starters, these are my thoughts on the chances of each wrestler to qualify for NCAAs or to get a wildcard if they don’t get and AQ spot.
125 – 8 bids
Spencer Lee
Devin Schroeder
Jack Medley
Michael DeAugustino
Liam Cronin
Patrick McKee
Nic Aguilar
Justin Cardani
Eric Barnett
Alex Thomsen
Malik Heinselman
Brandon Meredith
Logan Griffin
Brandon Cray
Malik has a win this year over Medley and last year over Cronin and McKee. He wrestled Cardani to OT and barely lost to Barnett and Thomsen. If he wrestles well, which may include less shot volume to put himself in bad positions, he can steal a spot.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot –
Odds of a wildcard -
133 – 7 bids
Seth Gross
Sebastian Rivera
Austin DeSanto
RBY
Travis Piotrowski
Sammy Alvarez
Ridge Lovett
Jordan Decatur
Garrett Pepple
King Sandoval
Austin Assad/Joey Sliva
Cayden Rooks
Boo Dryden
Travis Ford-Melton
They were talking on FRL about the fact that Decatur does not have a win over a wrestler in the field. His loss to Sandoval is a really bad one, and could push him to a double digit seed. If that’s the case, he’s going to have to beat a top 6 seed to qualify automatically. He was close with Alvarez and Lovett, but with only 7 bids, it’s and uphill battle.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 33%
Odds of a wildcard – 50%
141 – 8 bids
Nick Lee
Luke Pletcher
Chad Red
Max Murin
Mitch McKee
Tristan Moran
Dylan Duncan
Parker Filius
Cole Mattin
Alec McKenna
JoJo Aragona
Matt Santos
Eddie Bolivar
Hunter Baxter
Anything other than Pletcher-Lee II will be a massive disappointment.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 99.9%
Odds of a wildcard – 100%
149 – 10 bids
Pat Lugo
Sammy Sasso
Brayton Lee
Kanen Storr
Jared Verkleeren
Cole Martin
Collin Purinton
Yaha Thomas
Graham Rooks
Griffin Parriott
Gerard Angelo
Alex Hrisopoulos
Mousa Jodeh
Ryan Garlitz
Sasso is undefeated in B1G duals, but did lost to Lee at CKLV. He has close wins over Lugo, Lee and Verk. He teched Storr earlier in the year and Thomas skipped the dual. I think Sammy should be in the semis, but he’ll have to battle the whole weekend.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 99.8%
Odds of a wildcard – 100%
157 – 6 bids
Ryan Deakin
Kaleb Young
Will Lewan
Kendall Coleman
Peyton Robb
Jacob Tucker
Elijah Cleary
Ryan Thomas
Eric Barone
Jahi Jones
Luke Gardner/Bo Pipher
Mike VanBrill
Drew Scharenbrock
Cleary needs to open up his offense with only 6 qualifying spots. He was close with Thomas, beat Barone and Kinner lost to Robb on a 6 pointer early. I think the top 4 are pretty set and the next 2 could be any combination of Robb, Tucker, Cleary or Thomas.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 25%
Odds of a wildcard – 50%
165 – 8 bids
Vincenzo Joseph
Alex Marinelli
Evan Wick
Isaiah White
Danny Braunagel
Ethan Smith
Shayne Oster
Bailee O’Reilly
Drew Hughes
Kyle Cochran
Tyler Meisinger
Brett Donner
Tanner Webster
Dillon Hoey
Smith should have no problems qualifying a spot. I don’t think he can place top 4, but 5th would help his seeding at NCAAs.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 90%
Odds of a wildcard – 100%
174 – 9 bids
Mark Hall
Michael Kemerer
Dylan Lydy
Michael Labriola
Devin Skatzka
Kaleb Romero
Joey Gunther
Layne Malczewski
Joseph Grello
Jacob Covaciu
Tyler Moreland
Phillip Spadafora
Jared Krattinger
Max Maylor
Romero should have no problem qualifying, but I don’t see him top 3. I can see him anywhere from 4-6, and 4th would help his seeding at NCAAs.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 99.5%
Odds of a wildcard – 100%
184 – 10 bids
Aaron Brooks
Taylor Venz
Cam Caffey
Abe Assad
Rocky Jordan
Johnny Sebastian
Owen Webster
Zach Braunagel
Billy Janzer
May Lyon
Jelani Embree
Jack Jessen
Jakob Hinz
Kyle Jasenski
With 10 bids, Rocky is all but a lock to qualify. He could be anywhere from top 4 to 8th. He’s had an up and down year, but seems to be coming on.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 99.7%
Odds of a wildcard – 100%
197 – 6 bids
Kollin Moore
Jacob Warner
Shakur Rasheed
Eric Shultz
Jordan Pagano
Lucas Davidson
Christian Brunner
Jaron Smith
Hunter Ritter
Jackson Striggow
Matt Wroblewski
Nick May
Nick Willham
Taylor Watkins
I would be super shocked if Moore didn’t win another B1G Title. I think he handles Warner easily in the finals.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 99.9%
Odds of a wildcard – 100%
285 – 7 bids
Gable Steveson
Mason Parris
Anthony Cassioppi
Trent Hillger
David Jensen
Seth Nevills
Thomas Penola
Gary Traub
Luke Luffman
Alex Esposito
Christian Rebottaro
Jake Kleimola
Jack Heyob
Parker Robinson
Gas Tank Gary will probably be the 6 seed, and should be able to qualify, although only having 7 bids means a bit of a tougher road. He may have to beat Nevills again, if that is who PSU enters. If Kerk goes that pushes GTG down a spot and takes away one of the AQ.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 70%
Odds of a wildcard – 95%
Overall, OSU should have 7 qualify easily, but they need Malik, Jordan and Elijah to wrestle well to continue their streak of 10 qualifiers. Those three won’t really add much at NCAAs, although Decatur could be worth 1-3 points, depending on his draw.
#GoBucks
125 – 8 bids
Spencer Lee
Devin Schroeder
Jack Medley
Michael DeAugustino
Liam Cronin
Patrick McKee
Nic Aguilar
Justin Cardani
Eric Barnett
Alex Thomsen
Malik Heinselman
Brandon Meredith
Logan Griffin
Brandon Cray
Malik has a win this year over Medley and last year over Cronin and McKee. He wrestled Cardani to OT and barely lost to Barnett and Thomsen. If he wrestles well, which may include less shot volume to put himself in bad positions, he can steal a spot.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot –
Odds of a wildcard -
133 – 7 bids
Seth Gross
Sebastian Rivera
Austin DeSanto
RBY
Travis Piotrowski
Sammy Alvarez
Ridge Lovett
Jordan Decatur
Garrett Pepple
King Sandoval
Austin Assad/Joey Sliva
Cayden Rooks
Boo Dryden
Travis Ford-Melton
They were talking on FRL about the fact that Decatur does not have a win over a wrestler in the field. His loss to Sandoval is a really bad one, and could push him to a double digit seed. If that’s the case, he’s going to have to beat a top 6 seed to qualify automatically. He was close with Alvarez and Lovett, but with only 7 bids, it’s and uphill battle.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 33%
Odds of a wildcard – 50%
141 – 8 bids
Nick Lee
Luke Pletcher
Chad Red
Max Murin
Mitch McKee
Tristan Moran
Dylan Duncan
Parker Filius
Cole Mattin
Alec McKenna
JoJo Aragona
Matt Santos
Eddie Bolivar
Hunter Baxter
Anything other than Pletcher-Lee II will be a massive disappointment.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 99.9%
Odds of a wildcard – 100%
149 – 10 bids
Pat Lugo
Sammy Sasso
Brayton Lee
Kanen Storr
Jared Verkleeren
Cole Martin
Collin Purinton
Yaha Thomas
Graham Rooks
Griffin Parriott
Gerard Angelo
Alex Hrisopoulos
Mousa Jodeh
Ryan Garlitz
Sasso is undefeated in B1G duals, but did lost to Lee at CKLV. He has close wins over Lugo, Lee and Verk. He teched Storr earlier in the year and Thomas skipped the dual. I think Sammy should be in the semis, but he’ll have to battle the whole weekend.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 99.8%
Odds of a wildcard – 100%
157 – 6 bids
Ryan Deakin
Kaleb Young
Will Lewan
Kendall Coleman
Peyton Robb
Jacob Tucker
Elijah Cleary
Ryan Thomas
Eric Barone
Jahi Jones
Luke Gardner/Bo Pipher
Mike VanBrill
Drew Scharenbrock
Cleary needs to open up his offense with only 6 qualifying spots. He was close with Thomas, beat Barone and Kinner lost to Robb on a 6 pointer early. I think the top 4 are pretty set and the next 2 could be any combination of Robb, Tucker, Cleary or Thomas.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 25%
Odds of a wildcard – 50%
165 – 8 bids
Vincenzo Joseph
Alex Marinelli
Evan Wick
Isaiah White
Danny Braunagel
Ethan Smith
Shayne Oster
Bailee O’Reilly
Drew Hughes
Kyle Cochran
Tyler Meisinger
Brett Donner
Tanner Webster
Dillon Hoey
Smith should have no problems qualifying a spot. I don’t think he can place top 4, but 5th would help his seeding at NCAAs.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 90%
Odds of a wildcard – 100%
174 – 9 bids
Mark Hall
Michael Kemerer
Dylan Lydy
Michael Labriola
Devin Skatzka
Kaleb Romero
Joey Gunther
Layne Malczewski
Joseph Grello
Jacob Covaciu
Tyler Moreland
Phillip Spadafora
Jared Krattinger
Max Maylor
Romero should have no problem qualifying, but I don’t see him top 3. I can see him anywhere from 4-6, and 4th would help his seeding at NCAAs.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 99.5%
Odds of a wildcard – 100%
184 – 10 bids
Aaron Brooks
Taylor Venz
Cam Caffey
Abe Assad
Rocky Jordan
Johnny Sebastian
Owen Webster
Zach Braunagel
Billy Janzer
May Lyon
Jelani Embree
Jack Jessen
Jakob Hinz
Kyle Jasenski
With 10 bids, Rocky is all but a lock to qualify. He could be anywhere from top 4 to 8th. He’s had an up and down year, but seems to be coming on.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 99.7%
Odds of a wildcard – 100%
197 – 6 bids
Kollin Moore
Jacob Warner
Shakur Rasheed
Eric Shultz
Jordan Pagano
Lucas Davidson
Christian Brunner
Jaron Smith
Hunter Ritter
Jackson Striggow
Matt Wroblewski
Nick May
Nick Willham
Taylor Watkins
I would be super shocked if Moore didn’t win another B1G Title. I think he handles Warner easily in the finals.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 99.9%
Odds of a wildcard – 100%
285 – 7 bids
Gable Steveson
Mason Parris
Anthony Cassioppi
Trent Hillger
David Jensen
Seth Nevills
Thomas Penola
Gary Traub
Luke Luffman
Alex Esposito
Christian Rebottaro
Jake Kleimola
Jack Heyob
Parker Robinson
Gas Tank Gary will probably be the 6 seed, and should be able to qualify, although only having 7 bids means a bit of a tougher road. He may have to beat Nevills again, if that is who PSU enters. If Kerk goes that pushes GTG down a spot and takes away one of the AQ.
Odds of him winning a qualifying spot – 70%
Odds of a wildcard – 95%
Overall, OSU should have 7 qualify easily, but they need Malik, Jordan and Elijah to wrestle well to continue their streak of 10 qualifiers. Those three won’t really add much at NCAAs, although Decatur could be worth 1-3 points, depending on his draw.
#GoBucks
