For fun, had started this project back in July but for reasons you can all figure out, it sort of got sidetracked.
I kind of wanted to measure programs based on NFL draft success. I decided to use the Pro Football Reference "career approximate value" number as a guide. It's sort of a WAR-like metric applied to football. Obviously it's not going to be as precise a number given football players are more difficult to measure, but it's kind of like a win share type thing.
So I went back from 1994 to 2003 and used the 10 year sample of every draft position, averaging the players' career 'win shares' based on PFR. Then distributed the average CAV based on draft position (generally just over 250 spots in a 7-round draft).
More or less, the No. 1 pick averages just under 80 CAV or 'win shares.' So I applied a point system to project CAV based on the 10-year sample and totaled each pick up for programs from 2011-2018.
Here are the results:
Rank Team Picks Points
1 Alabama 66 2,226
2 Ohio State 49 1,436
3 LSU 53 1,305
4 Florida State 48 1,179
5 Florida 46 1,040
6 USC 38 945
7 Clemson 42 933
8 Notre Dame 33 923
9 Georgia 40 895
10 Texas A&M 26 843
11 Stanford 35 814
12 Washington 23 796
13 North Carolina 30 750
14 UCLA 33 741
15 Wisconsin 31 696
16 Miami (FL) 43 674
17 Oklahoma 40 638
18 Louisville 25 589
19 Auburn 26 576
20 Oregon 24 568
21 Missouri 20 514
22 West Virginia 24 508
23 Michigan 29 486
24 Penn State 27 480
25 Iowa 27 477
26 South Carolina 25 468
27 Baylor 24 460
28 Michigan State 24 459
29 Mississippi State 24 449
30 Boise State 21 434
31 California 25 398
32 Illinois 16 397
33 Tennessee 19 378
34 Virginia Tech 23 375
35 Texas 21 368
36 NC State 23 361
37 Ole Miss 17 359
38 Utah 21 338
39 Oklahoma State 14 337
40 Nebraska 25 315
41 Pittsburgh 18 313
42 Arkansas 30 312
43 UCA 14 306
44 Colorado 14 283
45 TCU 21 262
46 Boston College 16 256
47 Temple 13 244
48 Oregon State 16 242
49 Connecticut 16 227
50 San Diego State 17 213
51 Nevada 11 202
52 Syracuse 11 197
53 Arizona State 16 193
54 Maryland 11 178
55 Houston 8 176
56 BYU 5 172
57 Memphis 8 172
58 Cincinnati 10 165
59 Indiana 11 158
60 Kansas State 12 156
61 Texas Tech 9 151
62 Rutgers 13 149
63 Wake Forest 10 149
64 Utah State 11 145
65 Western Michigan 9 138
66 Purdue 10 136
67 Kentucky 8 135
68 Vanderbilt 11 134
69 Colorado State 7 131
70 Minnesota 9 129
71 Virginia 11 125
72 Georgia Tech 11 124
73 Louisiana Tech 11 118
74 Fresno State 9 116
75 SMU 11 115
76 Western Kentucky 10 106
77 Wyoming 7 106
78 Southern Miss 9 100
79 Washington State 9 100
80 Arizona 12 94
81 South Florida 14 94
82 Central Michigan 4 90
83 FIU 6 90
84 Buffalo 5 89
85 Duke 4 81
86 Florida Atlantic 6 75
87 Appalachian State 8 73
88 Northern Illinois 5 71
89 UTSA 2 70
90 Marshall 5 65
91 East Carolina 3 62
92 Louisiana 6 60
93 Rice 6 58
94 Miami (OH) 3 50
95 UTEP 2 50
96 Georgia Southern 5 46
97 Troy 3 43
98 Hawaii 5 41
99 Kent State 2 39
100 Iowa State 4 38
101 South Alabama 1 37
102 Middle Tennessee 4 36
103 Ohio 6 33
104 Northwestern 9 31
105 Toledo 4 30
106 Arkansas State 4 29
107 San Jose State 7 29
108 Southeastern La. 2 29
109 Kansas 5 27
110 Charlotte 1 26
111 Texas State 2 24
112 UAPB 1 22
113 New Mexico State 4 21
114 Tulane 6 19
115 Coastal Carolina 4 16
116 Idaho 4 16
117 UAB 3 9
118 UMass 3 8
119 Ball State 2 7
120 Navy 2 7
121 Georgia State 3 6
122 Akron 1 4
123 UL Monroe 1 4
124 Tulsa 1 4
125 Bowling Green 1 3
126 Eastern Michigan 2 3
127 New Mexico 1 1
Big Ten:
2 Ohio State (49, 1436)
15 Wisconsin (31, 696)
23 Michigan (29, 486)
24 Penn State (27, 480)
25 Iowa (27, 477)
28 Michigan St. (24, 459)
32 Illinois (16, 397)
40 Nebraska (25, 315)
54 Maryland (11, 178)
59 Indiana (11, 158)
62 Rutgers (13, 149)
66 Purdue (10, 136)
70 Minnesota (9, 129)
104 Northwestern (9, 31)
AVERAGE: 395
By league:
SEC (688)
Pac-12 (459)
ACC (436)
B1G (395)
Big 12 (294)
I kind of wanted to measure programs based on NFL draft success. I decided to use the Pro Football Reference "career approximate value" number as a guide. It's sort of a WAR-like metric applied to football. Obviously it's not going to be as precise a number given football players are more difficult to measure, but it's kind of like a win share type thing.
So I went back from 1994 to 2003 and used the 10 year sample of every draft position, averaging the players' career 'win shares' based on PFR. Then distributed the average CAV based on draft position (generally just over 250 spots in a 7-round draft).
More or less, the No. 1 pick averages just under 80 CAV or 'win shares.' So I applied a point system to project CAV based on the 10-year sample and totaled each pick up for programs from 2011-2018.
Here are the results:
Rank Team Picks Points
1 Alabama 66 2,226
2 Ohio State 49 1,436
3 LSU 53 1,305
4 Florida State 48 1,179
5 Florida 46 1,040
6 USC 38 945
7 Clemson 42 933
8 Notre Dame 33 923
9 Georgia 40 895
10 Texas A&M 26 843
11 Stanford 35 814
12 Washington 23 796
13 North Carolina 30 750
14 UCLA 33 741
15 Wisconsin 31 696
16 Miami (FL) 43 674
17 Oklahoma 40 638
18 Louisville 25 589
19 Auburn 26 576
20 Oregon 24 568
21 Missouri 20 514
22 West Virginia 24 508
23 Michigan 29 486
24 Penn State 27 480
25 Iowa 27 477
26 South Carolina 25 468
27 Baylor 24 460
28 Michigan State 24 459
29 Mississippi State 24 449
30 Boise State 21 434
31 California 25 398
32 Illinois 16 397
33 Tennessee 19 378
34 Virginia Tech 23 375
35 Texas 21 368
36 NC State 23 361
37 Ole Miss 17 359
38 Utah 21 338
39 Oklahoma State 14 337
40 Nebraska 25 315
41 Pittsburgh 18 313
42 Arkansas 30 312
43 UCA 14 306
44 Colorado 14 283
45 TCU 21 262
46 Boston College 16 256
47 Temple 13 244
48 Oregon State 16 242
49 Connecticut 16 227
50 San Diego State 17 213
51 Nevada 11 202
52 Syracuse 11 197
53 Arizona State 16 193
54 Maryland 11 178
55 Houston 8 176
56 BYU 5 172
57 Memphis 8 172
58 Cincinnati 10 165
59 Indiana 11 158
60 Kansas State 12 156
61 Texas Tech 9 151
62 Rutgers 13 149
63 Wake Forest 10 149
64 Utah State 11 145
65 Western Michigan 9 138
66 Purdue 10 136
67 Kentucky 8 135
68 Vanderbilt 11 134
69 Colorado State 7 131
70 Minnesota 9 129
71 Virginia 11 125
72 Georgia Tech 11 124
73 Louisiana Tech 11 118
74 Fresno State 9 116
75 SMU 11 115
76 Western Kentucky 10 106
77 Wyoming 7 106
78 Southern Miss 9 100
79 Washington State 9 100
80 Arizona 12 94
81 South Florida 14 94
82 Central Michigan 4 90
83 FIU 6 90
84 Buffalo 5 89
85 Duke 4 81
86 Florida Atlantic 6 75
87 Appalachian State 8 73
88 Northern Illinois 5 71
89 UTSA 2 70
90 Marshall 5 65
91 East Carolina 3 62
92 Louisiana 6 60
93 Rice 6 58
94 Miami (OH) 3 50
95 UTEP 2 50
96 Georgia Southern 5 46
97 Troy 3 43
98 Hawaii 5 41
99 Kent State 2 39
100 Iowa State 4 38
101 South Alabama 1 37
102 Middle Tennessee 4 36
103 Ohio 6 33
104 Northwestern 9 31
105 Toledo 4 30
106 Arkansas State 4 29
107 San Jose State 7 29
108 Southeastern La. 2 29
109 Kansas 5 27
110 Charlotte 1 26
111 Texas State 2 24
112 UAPB 1 22
113 New Mexico State 4 21
114 Tulane 6 19
115 Coastal Carolina 4 16
116 Idaho 4 16
117 UAB 3 9
118 UMass 3 8
119 Ball State 2 7
120 Navy 2 7
121 Georgia State 3 6
122 Akron 1 4
123 UL Monroe 1 4
124 Tulsa 1 4
125 Bowling Green 1 3
126 Eastern Michigan 2 3
127 New Mexico 1 1
Big Ten:
2 Ohio State (49, 1436)
15 Wisconsin (31, 696)
23 Michigan (29, 486)
24 Penn State (27, 480)
25 Iowa (27, 477)
28 Michigan St. (24, 459)
32 Illinois (16, 397)
40 Nebraska (25, 315)
54 Maryland (11, 178)
59 Indiana (11, 158)
62 Rutgers (13, 149)
66 Purdue (10, 136)
70 Minnesota (9, 129)
104 Northwestern (9, 31)
AVERAGE: 395
By league:
SEC (688)
Pac-12 (459)
ACC (436)
B1G (395)
Big 12 (294)
