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Offensive line depth, Rutgers game rewatch

@Bill Landis Obviously we are not going to get much more info this time of year on how the Offensive line is looking for 23-24. So I decided to try to look at how they performed in limited action in 22-23. I started by looking at the Rutgers 4th quarter. We had Zen, Enokk, J. James, Tegra and Josh Fryar from left to right. Not a bad look at 5 of our top ten options for next year! My impressions: Fryar looked on point in almost everything--pass pro, run block, moving in space, passing off guys, and moving up to the next level. Not surprising that he was the 6th lineman this year. Zen got beat right away in pass pro. Could have been looking for help from Enokk. Zen got better as the quarter went on. Was better in run blocking than pass blocking. Enokk is amazing in space--when he pulls, he is deadly. Not as good in pass pro as described above. Jacob James was hard to be sure of. Got pushed back in one on one reps in pass pro, but not all the way back to the quarterback. It is hard to evaluate Enokk, Jacob, and Tegra, since it is hard to know what their responsibilities are. Rutgers was able to get people through into the backfield in both run and pass plays but it was hard to tell if this was communication issues or technique issues. Seemed like Tegra was having issues with both. If he was one on one in run blocking or pass blocking he did great--pushed the pocket forward--but when he had to get to the second level, he struggled. Seemed like he got beat in pass pro once or twice as well but, again, unclear what the scheme was. My biggest takeaway was that the coaches might not have been willing to pass much since the second-team offensive line struggled to protect. I think we were all hoping to see Kyle throw more. But as Kevin Wilson said, 'if you can't block it, you can't run it.' I wonder if we see more running and play action the early part of next year since we may need some time to get the offensive line more cohesive in pass protection. Individually, I feel great about Josh Fryar, and that the rest look pretty good but are definitely works in progress. Looking forward to watching some more late-game action (?Michigan State). Would love if @Bill Landis or other offensive line folks like Reid Fragel would look at this too and see what their impression are.
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2023 CFB Returning Production

From an unnamed 4 letter publication.

Some teams of interest.

1. Florida State
5. Michigan
14. USC
32. LSU
36. Clemson
48. Ohio State
56. Penn St
80. Georgia
125. Alabama


Returning Production For FBS Teams In 2023​

TEAMRET. PROD.OFF. (RK)DEF. (RK)
1. Florida St.87%80% (12)94% (2)
2. Kansas85%91% (1)80% (10)
3. FAU83%68% (59)99% (1)
4. Wyoming83%82% (7)84% (4)
5. Michigan81%84% (4)78% (16)
6. UConn80%89% (2)71% (39)
7. Texas A&M80%82% (8)77% (19)
8. Boston Coll.78%78% (17)79% (13)
9. Missouri78%77% (25)80% (9)
10. Temple77%79% (15)76% (22)
11. Toledo77%82% (6)72% (32)
12. NIU77%75% (33)79% (12)
13. S. Alabama77%71% (50)82% (5)
14. USC76%75% (32)78% (15)
15. UMass76%77% (23)75% (26)
16. Utah76%83% (5)69% (45)
17. Navy75%76% (29)74% (29)
18. FIU74%71% (52)78% (14)
19. Texas74%85% (3)63% (68)
20. N. Texas74%76% (27)71% (36)
21. Rice73%72% (42)74% (28)
22. Washington73%74% (34)73% (30)
23. Rutgers73%73% (37)72% (31)
24. Syracuse73%73% (39)72% (33)
25. Coastal Caro.72%79% (14)65% (60)
26. La. Tech72%62% (80)81% (6)
27. Wisconsin72%75% (30)68% (48)
28. Auburn71%72% (44)71% (38)
29. Sam Houston71%68% (57)75% (27)
30. Ole Miss71%80% (13)62% (69)
31. Tulane71%73% (35)68% (46)
32. LSU71%81% (10)60% (72)
33. Duke71%82% (9)60% (73)
34. JMU70%60% (90)81% (7)
35. Miami70%62% (82)77% (18)
36. Clemson69%64% (73)75% (23)
37. MTSU69%52% (107)86% (3)
38. Va. Tech69%73% (41)65% (59)
39. Nebraska69%72% (45)66% (51)
40. Miami-OH69%61% (87)76% (21)
41. Indiana69%65% (63)72% (34)
42. UNLV69%71% (47)66% (57)
43. N. Carolina68%69% (53)68% (47)
44. Notre Dame68%65% (67)72% (35)
45. Michigan St.68%80% (11)56% (83)
46. California68%58% (92)78% (17)
47. Ga. Tech67%69% (55)66% (54)
48. Ohio St.67%57% (97)77% (20)
49. Boise St.67%78% (16)55% (85)
50. Louisiana66%78% (22)54% (88)
51. UCF66%62% (78)69% (43)
52. CMU66%51% (110)80% (8)
53. Oregon St.65%78% (20)52% (92)
54. Oregon65%65% (65)65% (58)
55. UTEP65%67% (62)63% (65)
56. Penn St.65%55% (102)75% (24)
57. Purdue65%71% (49)59% (76)
58. Vanderbilt65%73% (38)56% (80)
59. UCLA64%54% (104)75% (25)
60. Army64%64% (70)64% (64)
61. New Mexico64%78% (18)49% (103)
62. Colorado St.64%62% (84)66% (53)
63. NMSU64%77% (26)51% (98)
64. Texas Tech64%75% (31)52% (93)
65. Maryland64%64% (68)63% (66)
66. W. Virginia64%60% (89)68% (49)
67. Iowa St.63%76% (28)51% (95)
68. Memphis63%67% (60)59% (74)
69. Tennessee63%57% (96)69% (44)
70. BYU63%62% (83)65% (61)
71. Illinois63%64% (71)62% (70)
72. J'ville St.63%62% (81)64% (62)
73. Kentucky63%71% (48)55% (86)
74. Akron63%78% (21)48% (114)
75. EMU63%47% (114)79% (11)
76. Kansas St.63%73% (36)52% (94)
77. Oklahoma62%62% (79)63% (67)
78. Wash. St.62%73% (40)50% (99)
79. Marshall61%65% (64)58% (77)
80. Georgia61%52% (109)70% (42)
81. So. Miss60%68% (58)53% (90)
82. Houston60%77% (24)43% (119)
83. Troy60%64% (69)55% (84)
84. Fresno St.59%48% (112)71% (37)
85. BGSU59%63% (74)54% (87)
86. Air Force59%47% (113)70% (41)
87. Minnesota58%59% (91)57% (78)
88. ODU57%69% (54)46% (116)
89. Oklahoma St.57%65% (66)50% (101)
90. Arizona57%72% (43)42% (121)
91. Miss. St.57%71% (51)43% (118)
92. Ball St.57%58% (94)56% (82)
93. Colorado57%57% (98)57% (79)
94. Iowa57%64% (72)49% (102)
95. USF56%46% (116)67% (50)
96. Northwestern56%46% (115)66% (52)
97. SDSU56%71% (46)40% (123)
98. NC St.56%62% (77)49% (104)
99. Louisville56%61% (85)50% (100)
100. Baylor55%60% (88)51% (97)
101. Arkansas St.55%49% (111)62% (71)
102. S. Carolina55%63% (76)48% (113)
103. Utah St.55%44% (119)66% (56)
104. Liberty55%63% (75)47% (115)
105. WKU55%68% (56)41% (122)
106. Arkansas54%58% (93)51% (96)
107. Florida54%55% (103)53% (91)
108. Nevada53%53% (105)54% (89)
109. Arizona St.53%61% (86)45% (117)
110. Buffalo53%57% (95)49% (108)
111. SJSU53%57% (99)48% (109)
112. Wake Forest52%46% (117)59% (75)
113. UL-Monroe52%39% (124)66% (55)
114. Ohio52%78% (19)26% (133)
115. UTSA52%56% (100)48% (110)
116. Virginia52%40% (123)64% (63)
117. SMU52%56% (101)48% (112)
118. TCU52%33% (130)71% (40)
119. Pittsburgh51%52% (106)49% (106)
120. Charlotte50%52% (108)48% (111)
121. WMU49%67% (61)31% (129)
122. Hawaii47%45% (118)49% (105)
123. Ga. Southern47%37% (125)56% (81)
124. Cincinnati46%42% (121)49% (107)
125. Alabama40%43% (120)38% (127)
126. Tulsa40%41% (122)38% (126)
127. UAB39%36% (128)42% (120)
128. Texas St.38%37% (126)40% (124)
129. Stanford35%34% (129)36% (128)
130. ECU34%30% (132)39% (125)
131. App. St.33%36% (127)30% (131)
132. Georgia St.31%32% (131)30% (132)
133. Kent St.25%19% (133)31% (130)


Here's the current weighting for determining the offensive percentages above:

Percent of returning WR/TE receiving yards: 24% of the overall number

Percent of returning QB passing yards: 23%

Percent of returning OL snaps: 47%

Percent of returning RB rushing yards: 6%

Broken out by position/player, you're looking at roughly 29% for the quarterback, 6% for the running back and each of four wide receivers and/or tight ends and 9% for each offensive lineman. With each year of data, offensive line snaps become a heavier piece of the equation, which I find interesting.


It's a bit trickier on defense, where units aren't as strictly defined and the percentage of returning production is derived both from position units and types of stats (tackles, tackles for loss, sacks, passes defensed). Here's the approximate layout:

Percent of returning tackles: 70%

Percent of returning passes defensed: 14%

Percent of returning tackles for loss: 12%

Percent of returning sacks: 4%

Perhaps surprisingly, turnover in the back of the defense causes far more of a shift in a team's SP+ rating from year to year than turnover up front. By position, defensive backs make up about 46% of the defensive formula, while linebackers are at 40% and the defensive line is at 14%.

(Transfers are included as well based on some formula of previous production/recruiting rankings)
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